| 1st, could be 1st to 13th | Texas | Texas | +40 | -10 to +74 | 15 from 5 models | Average Hourly Earnings of All Employees: Total Private in Texas: $36.76 in September 2026, up $2, or 5.8% from a year earlier (September 2025), as this series is not seasonally adjusted |
| 2nd, could be 1st to 14th | Pennsylvania | Pennsylvania | +20 | -29 to +60 | 15 from 5 models | Average Hourly Earnings of All Employees: Total Private in Pennsylvania: $34.11 in September 2026, up $1.26, or 3.8% from a year earlier (September 2025), as this series is not seasonally adjusted |
| 2nd, could be 1st to 14th | Colorado | Colorado | +20 | -29 to +60 | 15 from 5 models | Average Hourly Earnings of All Employees: Total Private in Colorado: $40.19 in September 2026, up $0.79, or 2% from a year earlier (September 2025), as this series is not seasonally adjusted |
| 4th, could be 1st to 14th | New York | New York | +13 | -34 to +55 | 15 from 5 models | Average Hourly Earnings of All Employees: Total Private in New York: $39.87 in September 2026, up $0.5, or 1.3% from a year earlier (September 2025), as this series is not seasonally adjusted |
| 4th, could be 1st to 14th | Missouri | Missouri | +13 | -34 to +55 | 15 from 5 models | Average Hourly Earnings of All Employees: Total Private in Missouri: $34.38 in September 2026, up $1.92, or 5.9% from a year earlier (September 2025), as this series is not seasonally adjusted |
| 6th, could be 1st to 14th | Massachusetts | Massachusetts | +7 | -40 to +50 | 15 from 5 models | Average Hourly Earnings of All Employees: Total Private in Massachusetts: $43.75 in September 2026, up $1.51, or 3.6% from a year earlier (September 2025), as this series is not seasonally adjusted |
| 7th, could be 1st to 14th | Alaska | Alaska | 0 | -45 to +45 | 15 from 5 models | Average Hourly Earnings of All Employees: Total Private in Alaska: $38.43 in September 2026, up $0.28, or 0.7% from a year earlier (September 2025), as this series is not seasonally adjusted |
| 8th, could be 1st to 14th | Illinois | Illinois | -7 | -50 to +40 | 15 from 5 models | Average Hourly Earnings of All Employees: Total Private in Illinois: $36.83 in September 2026, up $1.44, or 4.1% from a year earlier (September 2025), as this series is not seasonally adjusted |
| 9th, could be 1st to 14th | Virginia | Virginia | -13 | -55 to +34 | 15 from 5 models | Average Hourly Earnings of All Employees: Total Private in Virginia: $38.63 in September 2026, up $1.81, or 4.9% from a year earlier (September 2025), as this series is not seasonally adjusted |
| 10th, could be 1st to 14th | Georgia | Georgia | -20 | -60 to +29 | 15 from 5 models | Average Hourly Earnings of All Employees: Total Private in Georgia: $35.39 in September 2026, up $0.49, or 1.4% from a year earlier (September 2025), as this series is not seasonally adjusted |
| 11th, could be 1st to 14th | United States | Base | -33 | -70 to +17 | 15 from 5 models | Average Hourly Earnings of All Employees, Total Private: $37.81 in September 2026, up $0.05, or 0.1% from August 2026 |
| 11th, could be 1st to 14th | California | California | -33 | -70 to +17 | 15 from 5 models | Average Hourly Earnings of All Employees: Total Private in California: $42.58 in September 2026, up $0.8, or 1.9% from a year earlier (September 2025), as this series is not seasonally adjusted |
| 13th, could be 1st to 14th | Ohio | Ohio | -40 | -74 to +10 | 15 from 5 models | Average Hourly Earnings of All Employees: Total Private in Ohio: $34.39 in September 2026, up $1.34, or 4.1% from a year earlier (September 2025), as this series is not seasonally adjusted |
| 14th, could be 2nd to 14th | Minnesota | Minnesota | -67 | -89 to -17 | 15 from 5 models | Average Hourly Earnings of All Employees: Total Private in Minnesota: $39.78 in September 2026, unchanged from a year earlier (September 2025), as this series is not seasonally adjusted |